Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 67.143699 75.883770 84.851705 94.708886 105.207560 116.025529 127.985348
2025-06-01 53.884473 66.401589 79.856291 95.260647 112.282324 130.400194 151.029033
2025-06-08 44.875052 59.253697 75.275707 94.176355 115.606139 138.918660 165.973360
2025-06-15 39.432753 55.305769 73.543311 95.589203 121.097313 149.312898 182.526911
2025-06-22 35.184307 52.198464 72.299852 97.124768 126.349005 159.126454 198.160715
2025-06-29 30.472964 48.019299 69.364930 96.304734 128.563655 165.232049 209.383026
2025-07-06 25.816358 43.440710 65.557721 94.098059 128.858518 168.889223 217.599760
2025-07-13 24.292022 42.793819 66.510355 97.568671 135.814104 180.225539 234.625971
2025-07-20 22.374185 41.421270 66.394083 99.600042 140.949856 189.367928 249.067589
2025-07-27 19.732051 38.792454 64.460149 99.194726 142.997564 194.765770 259.059968
2025-08-03 17.248396 36.153442 62.330633 98.387871 144.429245 199.336121 268.004965
2025-08-10 15.513952 34.464972 61.361422 98.978535 147.519804 205.844151 279.206662
2025-08-17 13.531042 32.225787 59.533981 98.392495 149.125666 210.587750 288.380327
2025-08-24 12.027130 30.602499 58.469902 98.744276 151.870772 216.694950 299.184653
2025-08-31 10.298134 28.401439 56.432330 97.670745 152.703702 220.390610 307.033791
2025-09-07 9.387401 27.524577 56.271860 99.108528 156.744322 228.027128 319.647154
2025-09-14 8.592007 26.767735 56.234906 100.677801 160.932326 235.836511 332.472629
2025-09-21 7.339879 24.987154 54.531529 99.840123 161.907778 239.598886 340.333120
2025-09-28 5.950521 22.710009 51.907902 97.586066 160.922982 240.835790 345.045783
2025-10-05 5.785304 22.975889 53.330694 101.131028 167.671443 251.840840 361.802432
2025-10-12 5.368287 22.638641 53.747791 103.205410 172.444052 260.347946 375.488739
2025-10-19 4.575263 21.327936 52.493412 102.791541 173.830493 264.531336 383.812896
2025-10-26 3.810094 19.930148 51.004684 101.967617 174.614440 267.914257 391.122023